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They’re actually not – they’re based on earlier findings by geologists a couple of decades ago who predicted that an earthquake could cause the flank of the Cumbre Vieja to collapse into the Atlantic Ocean, triggering a tsunami which would wipe out the east coast of the USA (that bit was not mentioned much in the series, for some reason!)
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2001GL013110
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