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Government to UK aviation industry: Drop Dead

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Following a number of days of talks with British Airways, Virgin Atlantic, easyJet and representatives from UK airports, the Government has refused to provide a package of financial support for the UK aviation sector.

According to reports, a letter was sent by the Chancellor of the Exchequer this afternoon which made it clear that there would be no industry-wide package of measures.

Government to UK aviation industry - drop dead

The Government did say, however, that it would be prepared to talk to airports or airlines “as a last resort” when they would otherwise need to appoint an administrator.  There would be no discussions until companies were at the brink and had exhausted all other options for raising finance.

The letter implies that any deal would involve the Government taking partial or full control of the airline or airport involved through the acquisition of newly issued shares and would not involve any Government loans.

Whether of not the Government chose to save any particular business would depend on:

“whether the business makes a material contribution to the economic activity of the UK, the importance of maintaining a thriving competitive aviation sector in the UK to deliver connectivity and the equitable and fair treatment across businesses in the sector”

Here is the full text (click to enlarge):

Rishi Sunak letter to aviation sectorand

Government letter to aviation sector

The reference to ‘maintaining a thriving competitive aviation sector’ looks like a signal to Virgin Atlantic that the Government is willing to take it over if required.  There had been some speculation that Virgin Atlantic could be sacrificed as long as British Airways was protected.

The Government stated that airlines and airports are already benefitting from the ability to reclaim up to £2,500 per month of the salary of furloughed workers.  There was also an implication that the Government may soon allow non-investment grade companies to access pots of state funding which may benefit the weaker players in the sector.

In terms of airports, Karen Dee, chief executive of the Airport Operators Association, said in a statement:

“After having publicly announced a support package for airports and airlines, we’re surprised by where we find ourselves today. Our industry will now have to fight on its own to protect its workforce and its future”

In terms of ‘what does this mean for me’, I would say that in no circumstances now should you accept a credit voucher from British Airways, Virgin Atlantic or easyJet.  Insist on cash.  It is an unnecessary risk if you have an option.

Now that the Government had made it clear that no financial support will be available, it is unlikely that banks will be queuing up to provide loans to the sector.  The credit card companies are also unlikely to release the funds they are refusing to pass over for flights booked in the future.

In the case of IAG and easyJet, it would be virtually impossible for them to issue new shares in the market at this time – although both have enough reserves to keep going for 3-4 months.

The Sunday Times said last week that British Airways was losing €200m per week so, assuming IAG as a whole is losing €400m per week, their €9 billion of liquidity is good for another 3-4 months.

For more information on this, click this Google search link and visit the Financial Times story at the top.  Doing this gets you over the FT paywall.  The Sky News version is here.

Comments (202)

This article is closed to new comments. Feel free to ask your question in the HfP forums.

  • MartinF says:

    What do I do? I’ve used 150k miles + cash taxes to book three seats for family for LHR-LAX return late July (booked in January), plus £500 for extra child ticket. Do I ask for refund on the three miles tickets? I’m guessing I’ll get miles back and all cash except £30 each seat? What do I get back from the child cash ticket? Tempted to cancel the trip now, because if I don’t and Virgin goes bust I’ll lose the lot. Plus I can’t see the US being back up and running by July. Any advice?!

  • Harry T says:

    So who is transferring Virgin miles to Hilton?

    @Genghis I asked you somewhere else about this but now can’t find it.

    • Shoestring says:

      Genghis got out before Virgin changed the increment to 10,000

      I transferred out half ours by SMS

    • Genghis says:

      I transferred all out start of last week after some thought. But will you? Lol.

      • Harry T says:

        I’ve only got 55k so perhaps better to transfer to Hilton?

        • Lee says:

          How to transfer?

          • Shoestring says:

            SMS, see their site when logged in 07481 339184 with all details of both a/cs and amount to transfer

        • Genghis says:

          If you can accept a devaluation of points now, then it’s all good.

          What’s better, getting 50% of something for sure now or maybe, to what percentage chance who knows, losing it all?

          • Harry T says:

            @Genghis
            Good point – sucks to not get as much value as I had hoped but I’d rather take a surer thing. I hope VS survive but I’ll assume they won’t and transfer out to Hilton.

    • BJ says:

      I transferred mine on a regular basis over the years, was a bit worried I’d messed up when AF/KLM came along but proved not to be the case. Changed my clubcard back to vouchers last week so they don’t get my pet insurance points.

      • Shoestring says:

        Tesco quarter doesn’t end for ages so you’re kissing goodbye to the free 1000

      • Harry T says:

        @BJ you don’t see any value in KLM redemptions? Tbh I mainly started collecting VS miles to spend on these redemptions, when I first heard it would be happening.

        Why Hilton rather than IHG?

        • BJ says:

          No, I’ve only got 2,9XX FC miles plus some pending from Morrisons lol. I just like Hilton better, great status recognition. Two years away from LD is I have much life left to enjoy it.

          • Harry T says:

            How do you manage Diamond every year? I gather it’s quite a lot of nights.

        • John says:

          Exchange rate is crap for ihg and ihg hotels are crap too.

          You can retain diamond with 30 one night stays, or spend 12000 USD.

  • the_real_a says:

    But where is cash burn going? Aircraft leases and debt repayment… so why would those institutions want to close down a cash generating business (in regular times)? Where would the leasing companies place the aircraft that could generate cash BEFORE IAG could return to a cash positve position? It feels more likely that IAG and virgin would receive relief on its debt/interest to reduce cash burn first before insolvency.

    • Rob says:

      The leasing companies borrow their money. If they stop demanding lease payments for the aircraft, they can’t repay the money they borrowed to buy the aircraft.

    • Chrisasaurus says:

      This absolutely hits the nail on the head. In normal times means nothing. What does a market flooded with repo aircraft do to the equations?

      Structurally profitable airlines are still a safe investment if you have the cheap cash to accept no return until well after this is over. But they could be very, very cheap investments.

      Now, if everyone with capital actively holds back in the hope everyone else does too so they can buy the assets from the ashes and they do hit the wall then its game over for miles holders. Theres your decision

  • jimA says:

    would have though an airline would have a strong hand in getting a renegotiation of any leased aircraft — after all if the owners repossessed the plane what would they do with it ?
    I dont know what % of each airlines planes are leased

  • Captain Andy Peters says:

    This is just sensationalist journalism at best!

    The UK aviation industry is in a free fall at the moment thanks to the media! I really hope an investigation is done after all of this hoo haa has blown over into the lack of professionalism by the media.

    As for BA, Virgin, Thomson and easyJet, if they were looking likely to enter administration, the UK government would definitely get involved. After all, look at the US, Middle East and Asia on Flight Radar. So many flights in their airspace and for some reason Europe has over reacted with all these flight cancellations!

    • Lee says:

      Maybe not helped here either.

    • will says:

      They’re not in freefall because of the media, they’re in freefall because they generate revenue by flying people from one place to another which they currently cannot do with no end in sight and they have big fixed overheads which are tough to get out of.

  • James P says:

    So for someone with a stash of E.g. 500k Avios, is there any protection to be had by spreading them between BA,IB and Aer Lingus? Or is this wishful thinking?!

    • Shoestring says:

      not at all, it’s quite a good idea

      these companies are usually independent up to a point

      • Shoestring says:

        must be difficult if you have -90K in your IB a/c though 🙂

      • Doug M says:

        Didn’t you previously advocate spending in excess of £3000 on Avios? Just to put you thoughts on Avios in context.

    • Rob says:

      Avios are owned by Avios Group Ltd which is 86% owned by British Airways plc.

  • Alex says:

    Completely agree with the government’s position.

    If any airlines really cannot go on, and their existing shareholders are unwilling to provide any additional equity then the shareholders should be wiped out and the government becomes the full equity owner of the business.

    You cannot expect to extract super normal profits in the good times, dividend it out, then when the bad times come just get a loan from taxpayers and leave shareholders untouched

    • Ken says:

      +100

      It’s not airlines that would be bailed , it’s shareholders.
      Why should Delta or Branson or Stelios be given a fat load of cash by the taxpayer ?

      This is exactly the right policy.

  • Shoestring says:

    yep & that’s the 80% point, right?

    • Genghis says:

      “ HMRC will reimburse 80% of furloughed workers wage costs, up to a cap of £2,500 per month”
      My reading was say total cost of employment could be £3,125 and gov will pay 80% of that, so £2,500, capped. It’s a bit ambiguous, I agree, as to whether the cap is on the 80% of the “wage costs”. No one prob really knows apart from this poorly drafted wording?

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