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Government to UK aviation industry: Drop Dead

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Following a number of days of talks with British Airways, Virgin Atlantic, easyJet and representatives from UK airports, the Government has refused to provide a package of financial support for the UK aviation sector.

According to reports, a letter was sent by the Chancellor of the Exchequer this afternoon which made it clear that there would be no industry-wide package of measures.

Government to UK aviation industry - drop dead

The Government did say, however, that it would be prepared to talk to airports or airlines “as a last resort” when they would otherwise need to appoint an administrator.  There would be no discussions until companies were at the brink and had exhausted all other options for raising finance.

The letter implies that any deal would involve the Government taking partial or full control of the airline or airport involved through the acquisition of newly issued shares and would not involve any Government loans.

Whether of not the Government chose to save any particular business would depend on:

“whether the business makes a material contribution to the economic activity of the UK, the importance of maintaining a thriving competitive aviation sector in the UK to deliver connectivity and the equitable and fair treatment across businesses in the sector”

Here is the full text (click to enlarge):

Rishi Sunak letter to aviation sectorand

Government letter to aviation sector

The reference to ‘maintaining a thriving competitive aviation sector’ looks like a signal to Virgin Atlantic that the Government is willing to take it over if required.  There had been some speculation that Virgin Atlantic could be sacrificed as long as British Airways was protected.

The Government stated that airlines and airports are already benefitting from the ability to reclaim up to £2,500 per month of the salary of furloughed workers.  There was also an implication that the Government may soon allow non-investment grade companies to access pots of state funding which may benefit the weaker players in the sector.

In terms of airports, Karen Dee, chief executive of the Airport Operators Association, said in a statement:

“After having publicly announced a support package for airports and airlines, we’re surprised by where we find ourselves today. Our industry will now have to fight on its own to protect its workforce and its future”

In terms of ‘what does this mean for me’, I would say that in no circumstances now should you accept a credit voucher from British Airways, Virgin Atlantic or easyJet.  Insist on cash.  It is an unnecessary risk if you have an option.

Now that the Government had made it clear that no financial support will be available, it is unlikely that banks will be queuing up to provide loans to the sector.  The credit card companies are also unlikely to release the funds they are refusing to pass over for flights booked in the future.

In the case of IAG and easyJet, it would be virtually impossible for them to issue new shares in the market at this time – although both have enough reserves to keep going for 3-4 months.

The Sunday Times said last week that British Airways was losing €200m per week so, assuming IAG as a whole is losing €400m per week, their €9 billion of liquidity is good for another 3-4 months.

For more information on this, click this Google search link and visit the Financial Times story at the top.  Doing this gets you over the FT paywall.  The Sky News version is here.

Comments (206)

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  • Alex says:

    Completely agree with the government’s position.

    If any airlines really cannot go on, and their existing shareholders are unwilling to provide any additional equity then the shareholders should be wiped out and the government becomes the full equity owner of the business.

    You cannot expect to extract super normal profits in the good times, dividend it out, then when the bad times come just get a loan from taxpayers and leave shareholders untouched

    • Ken says:

      +100

      It’s not airlines that would be bailed , it’s shareholders.
      Why should Delta or Branson or Stelios be given a fat load of cash by the taxpayer ?

      This is exactly the right policy.

  • Paul Pogba says:

    I think the Tory Party will end up owning more British industry than Momentum or the Labour Party could have ever dreamed. Aviation isn’t the only industry deep in le merde.

    • Shoestring says:

      la merde

    • Rob says:

      Government of National Unity on the way, it seems, once Kier Starmer gets elected. See The Guardian tonight.

      • Charlieface says:

        Highly unlikely IMV. Why should they unless they have defectors?

        • Rob says:

          Boris knows what happened to Churchill after WW2 ….

        • Roy says:

          You remember how the Tories have relentlessly blamed the Labour party for the financial crisis ever since, even though anyone paying attention knows it was not Labour’s fault. The Tories are scared of the same thing happening to them over COVID-19.

          National crises are a rich source of amunition against the governing party…

        • Roy says:

          The other reason is that some form of cross-party decision making may be necessary to maintain democratic legitimacy in the event that parliament is unable to sit,

      • Roy says:

        Reading that same article, it doesn’t sound like Kier Starmer is particularly in favour of it…

        • Rob says:

          Why should he be? No credit if it goes well, has to carry part of the blame if it goes badly. Difficult to refuse though given national interest etc.

          • Aeronaut says:

            I’d say it’s easy enough to refuse. The Tories have a significant majority. Labour can be a constructive opposition, especially under Keir Starmer.

      • Tariq says:

        With the media dictating Boris’ overreaction to C19 at present, it could only be an improvement!

  • paul says:

    I cant get worried about Easy jet having seen them enrich their shareholders to the tune of £170,000,000 this week. If and only if this is fully repaid would I support any tax payers cash being used. Virgin can go hang given the tax dodger Branson. BA can burn through its reserves which are there for exactly this type of issue. And in any event their treatment of refunds has been scandalous.
    To many other priorities right now starting with staying alive.

  • Liz says:

    My daughter has 8400 Virgin miles. Can they be transferred to my account so i can transfer our combined amount out to Hilton?

    • Shoestring says:

      no

      • Liz says:

        I thought I read before that you could do that so wanted to check.

        • Shoestring says:

          I think you would have read about VA bending the rules to allow family members to combine miles to buy a redemption flight

          • Liz says:

            No I knew about the pooling for redemptions – I thought i read here recently about it for transferring it out to Hilton.

          • John says:

            Once they are in Hilton they can be pooled, unfortunately not while they are still in virgin

        • James Ede says:

          You can only transfer from your own virgin account to your own Hilton account. And you need a minimum of 10,000 miles to do so.

        • Lady London says:

          If you feel really strongly Liz why not send some Tesco over to make up the numbers? Or buy a few (not sure how numbers would work out on that one)

    • marcw says:

      minimum of 10k miles

  • Henry says:

    Honestly, if your clogging Virgins helpline up with questions about removing your points and you’ve got under 50k flying club miles you are a greedy self-centered idiot and in my opinion as bad as Branson himself.
    People are stuck and need help and all you lot can think about is saving a few thousand flying club miles.
    Its as bad as those idiots panic buying bog roll.

    • Roy says:

      Either it’s OK to move your points, or it’s not. Drawing an arbitrary line at 50k makes no sense. For pretty much any number you choose, it will be insignificance to some people and quite a big deal to others.

      • J says:

        Sense of priorities is needed here – people should only be calling Virgin, BA etc with urgent queries. Transferring 8,400 points is not urgent. Spare a thought for other people with genuine and urgent reasons for calling.

  • Mikeact says:

    Good enough for me…..cash out/refunds for all my 2020 flights……and with the recent workaround, (appreciated), dead easy.

  • Henry says:

    It will be funny when Virgin stay in business then offer cut-price redemptions to get everyone interested in flying club again and you lot have cashed all your points in for pennies and rubbish value.
    You lot would be crappy investors which tells me that you will be wrong.

    • Mikeact says:

      I’ll hang in there for the time being, before I decide what to do with my not insignificant amount of Avios. There’s bound to be some creative ideas that will emerge going forward.

    • Mac says:

      If there was a decent option i would cash out at least 50% but as it is going for a gift card with Virgin group is the only option worth bothering with, I think Virgin Experience Days is run by a separate company

      • will says:

        I’ve no idea how long the virus is going to take to work itself through but anyone who thinks we can get away with paying people for zero productivity is very optimistic.

        Inflation is going to be the defining characteristic of the coming economic cycle and it will be very hard to manage due to it’s impacts on bonds, to which a government with an insatiable appetite for borrowing has only one option, more QE, which will result in yet more inflation.

        The days of zero interest rates may well come to an abrupt end by market force.

        • Callum says:

          I can certainly see inflation rising because of supply chain issues, but how does paying people 80% of their previous wage do that? They aren’t spending it on anything they weren’t already doing.

          • Will says:

            When you pay people to do nothing (in terms of productivity) then your actual output falls for a given £ GDP. So you produce less for the same price = inflation EG half a loaf of bread for the cost of a load of bread.

            It’ll be compounded as the source of that money will be printed (QE) – we’re 12 years into the first round of QE, no indication from Gov or BofE when the money will be repaid to BofE and deleted which suggests to me it won’t ever be and once the market cottons onto that you get an exodus from bonds and currency junked. Currency is already happening.

    • Novice says:

      Did he say the airline though as there are many virgin products; he could mean collectively which isn’t a lot then.

    • Spaghetti Town says:

      @ Henry. Agreed, got to hold your nerve.

      I think we’ll see one of the quickest recoveries ever both in the economy and the airline industry. No more than a year and we’ll be back to full operations.

      • Rob says:

        Agree with that, but airlines still have to get through this in one piece.

        • Aeronaut says:

          Interesting. My feeling is that seems optimistic, but I’d be happy to hear the arguments in favour.

          I do also think it possible that, having gone through this crisis, the climate change situation might start to be taken more seriously, with possible impacts for aviation.

          Plus one can imagine a variety of other positive recalibrations to society and hence the economy.

      • marcw says:

        Little bit TOO optimistic. I strongly believe in 1 year time we will be on a light version of lock-down.

        • BJ says:

          And that might be a good result, could be waves of extreme lockdown.

    • BJ says:

      Errr no, some of us redeemed Virgin miles for the most expensive hotel in the Hilton portfolio when conversion rate was 1:3 and they cost us close to nothing. One night cash price was higher than UC rent fare to USA. You haven’t been around long enough to dish out criticism.

      • Harry T says:

        RIP 1:3 conversion rate.

      • Henry says:

        I have and I did exactly the same myself.
        But the conversion rate has changed and so has Hiltons pricing of its Hotels.
        Lol about not being able to have an opinion because u think I’m a newbie.
        What a silly way to think.

        • BJ says:

          No, I didn’t mean that you couldn’t have an opinion, I meant that if you were around long enough you would have known about the value some got from Virgin to Hilton transfers and would not have commented as you did. At least, that’s what your comment implied to me. Anyway in this hobby as you know opportune moments come and go, for a variety of reasons none of us here get the best out of the hobby all the time, we win some and hopefully lose not so many. People just trying to make the best of the current situation and protect their investment best they can.

  • mr_jetlag says:

    have cancelled our 2021 241 bookings to Japan for now (thanks for the workaround), that’s £1130 “taxes” not going to be tied up in future administration…

    I’m not moving my 600k Avios balances however, since I don’t particularly like the idea of cashing out for 0.5p and since Iberia / Aer Lingus will be just as bad if not worse off.

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