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EU attacks IAG’s Air Europa acquisition

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In late 2019, IAG, parent of British Airways, Iberia and Vueling, announced its intention to acquire Air Europa. Air Europa is the third-largest airline in Spain, after Iberia and Vueling, operating around 15% of all Spanish domestic flights.

The hope was that the deal would create a ‘5th European hub’ in Madrid, bulking up the existing Iberia operation, to sit alongside London, Frankfurt, Paris and Amsterdam. You can read our original article on the plans here.

At the time, the price was €1bn. Clearly a lot has changed since then, including the worst crisis aviation has ever seen. IAG has now negotiated a 50% discount on the price. Better yet, IAG doesn’t have to pay a penny until 2026.

EU attack IAG's Air Europa acquisition

The problem for IAG is monopoly concerns in Spain, with the additional of Air Europa giving it dominance of the domestic market with 73%. Ryanair will be the biggest competitor but only has a 15% share.

The European Union has now announced an in-depth investigation into the dealsee here.

To quote:

“The Commission is concerned that the proposed transaction could significantly reduce competition on 70 origin and destination (O&D) city pairs within and to/from Spain, on which both airlines offer direct services. On some routes, IAG and Air Europa have been the only two airlines operating.

The Commission is also concerned about the effect of the proposed transaction on routes on which other airlines rely on Air Europa’s domestic and short-haul network for their own operations at the Madrid airport and a number of other EU airports. Without Air Europa’s feeder traffic, some airlines may decide to terminate their services to international destinations also served by IAG, reducing choice for travellers.

At this stage, the Commission found that competition from other airlines, including from European low-cost carriers would likely not provide a sufficient constraint on the merged entity on the routes where it would hold high market shares. Similarly, the competitive pressure of European network airlines or Latin American airlines appears insufficient.”

The EU has until 5th November to make a decision on whether the acquisition can proceed. Interestingly, IAG has not voluntarily submitted any potential remedies for consideration.

The problem is that, as you can see from the market share figures above, there is no realistic competitor to pick up those routes.

IAG may be forced to create, and then divest, a new airline to operate these routes, or to provide substantial financial backing to a small Spanish airline to fund expansion to take on Air Europa routes. Even then, it wouldn’t help SkyTeam carriers flying to Spain who need onward connectivity within the alliance.


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Comments (29)

This article is closed to new comments. Feel free to ask your question in the HfP forums.

  • ChrisBCN says:

    I do think the commission have got this right – if you take out the canaries, the combined IAG/Europa share is huge. There would need to be a significant divestment of Europa routes, maybe over half the routes, for this to be acceptable from a competitive market perspective. Great for IAG if they can somehow get away with it though.

  • Emiddio says:

    Hard rock hotel code doesn’t work

  • Matt says:

    I suspect IAG and AirEuropa will be saying without this deal AirEuropa will not exist and given the state of the aviation industry there is no alternative investor or purchaser. Therefore irrespective of the deal a reduction in competition is coming and this may preserve routes for consumers. It was same “failing firm” argument that Aegean and Olympic were allowed to merge on their third attempt.

    Will be hard for EU to argue against it with the state of the industry and since IAG are paying nothing except deferred compensation and no other party has come forward in the years the deal has been waiting to complete.

    • marcw says:

      That’s exactly how I expect it to be.

    • TGLoyalty says:

      I was thinking exactly this. Aviation is a shadow of its 2019 self. It will not bounce back for years.

    • Rob says:

      EU refused to let Air Canada buy Air Transat though.

      If you are a monopolist (and Air Canada is, as is IAG at heart) now is when you strike because you hope regulators have gone soft.

      • marcw says:

        The only difference is that Air Europa is effectively out of cash. Air Europa has no options to carry on operating as a stand alone airline. Leasing payments have been deferred, airplanes have been returned to lessors, new deliveries have been delayed,… they have no cash – they got some cash from the Gov, but that´s not going to last long.

    • Bagoly says:

      But if Air Europa goes bust, would it be more feasible for Easyjet to expand in Spain?
      They expanded significantly by picking up pieces of Air Berlin when that went bust.

      • Bob says:

        Easyjet is more of a failure than a success in Germany.

        Already in 2019, Germany was their worst country: fully unprofitable there.

        The UK, Italy, France work for easyjet. Germany definitively not.

        I wonder if Spain would work in your scenario.

        • marcw says:

          easyJet already flew domestic flights in Spain a few years ago. Surprise surprise, they dropped them already pre-covid19.

        • Gormlesstraveller says:

          Thanks Bob but why was Germany so bad for them?

  • Nick says:

    I’m glad the commission has finally realised the nature of UX’s business and how network airlines actually work. For the point-to-point business, sure Ryanair can set up a few new routes, particularly if they’re subsidised by IAG for a while. But they don’t and can’t provide feed to anyone’s longhaul network, which is a huge chunk of UX’s business today. Sadly I doubt this will go anywhere, but meaningful competition is valuable in the airline industry and I hope the authorities do make enough of a fuss to ruffle feathers.

    • Bagoly says:

      Yes, the market can arguable be viewed as “savvy” and “sticky”.
      The former go LCC, where legacy carriers cannot compete on price given their legacy overheads.
      The latter fly the dominant flag carrier, whether from protectionism, fear, concentration-of-loyalty-benefits, or habit.
      So there is not much scope for feeder traffic for competitors – KLM only get lots from the UK because BA largely abandoned the UK regions.
      Does TAP get much from Spain?

  • Nick says:

    The hard rock deal is awful. Most bottomless brunches are based on fun cocktails – Bloody Mary, Espresso Martini, etc… a few lagers and cheap prosecco really aren’t going to cut it!

    • Rob says:

      Cocktails an extra £10

    • Andrew says:

      And who wants breakfast at their hotel at 11am?

      • Tariq says:

        People who’ve been on the lash the night before, want a lie in then to keep the party going?

      • TGLoyalty says:

        I’d love it if I could get breakfast until 4pm like in Turkey ..

        • Rob says:

          Have you tried booking a hotel breakfast recently? When we were at DoubleTree Bristol (Cadbury House) a few weeks ago we were given a 10.30 breakfast slot with no other options except 6.30 or something equally rubbish.

  • Grant H says:

    A few things to note regarding the Hard Rock Bottomless brunch. The service on a Saturday was extremely slow (it took an hour to receive our first drink order of 4 x beers- complicated I know). We were there for 3 hours to complete the 3 courses. They wouldn’t serve another drink beyond hour 2. The waiter was quite literally taken straight out of Fawlty Towers and as times we had to double check we hadn’t accidentally signed up for the fawlty towers dining experience.

    A Tuesday sitting, was night vs day by contrast. A beer on our table, those with Prosecco were left the entire bottle. The waiter was charming.

    The voucher itself, if you want the £10 cocktails all people on the brunch must also pay for the upgrade- which seems silly to me. Additionally if you book the 2 course meal, both people must have the same course (starter or desert).

    A cracking deal none the less.

    • Bagoly says:

      re cocktails: HFP101 – to prevent one person on a table paying for the upgrade and sharing the cocktails with everybody else on the table.

      • Genghis says:

        It’s like in Nando’s where you get one bottomless coke and share it. Harder now with the table service.

  • AJA says:

    I think the reason IAG isn’t offering any remedies is that the EU is offering a route for IAG to get out of the deal. It already got a 50% discount on the deal but even so 1/2 billion is still a lot of money. Rather wait for Air Europa to go bust and pick up the slots afterwards and any aircraft in the subsequent fire sale on the cheap.

    • marcw says:

      If Air Europa will go bust, paradoxically, EC will approve the acquisition.

      • Jan M says:

        I wonder if AF/KLM would want to hover up some of the slots. Air Europa also feeds into their network. Actually flew AE for the first time earlier this year and really liked them.

  • The Savage Squirrel says:

    Not bad with a voucher. £89 for two normally? Made me laugh. If £20 of that is the breakfast then that’s £25 worth of cheap lager for breakfast to achieve “value”. Not for me but not sure I’m the target audience for that 😀 .

This article is closed to new comments. Feel free to ask your question in the HfP forums.

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